Ethereum has recently faced notable headwinds, with heavy liquidations and significant institutional outflows shaking the crypto landscape. Following a sharp decline below the $4,000 mark, some analysts are asserting that this downturn may present a buying opportunity, potentially setting the stage for a rebound toward new highs.
Ethereum Faces Decline Amid Market Liquidations
On October 14, Ethereum’s price experienced a dramatic drop of over 6.5%, breaking through the critical $4,000 support level. This decline coincided with a broader deterioration of risk sentiment in global markets, exacerbated by rising geopolitical tensions between the United States and China. Reports of new sanctions imposed by China on U.S. shipping companies contributed to waning investor confidence.
According to data from CoinGlass, Ethereum liquidations surpassed $145 million within a 24-hour window, marking the highest level of forced selling since the previous week, when over $3.8 billion in positions were liquidated across the crypto market. Such liquidations add to selling pressure, as leveraged traders are often compelled to exit their positions, driving prices lower.
Institutional Outflows and Impact of BlackRock’s Sales
Recent trends indicate a decline in institutional sentiment towards Ethereum. Spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw more than $428 million in outflows on Monday, significantly up from $174 million just three days prior. This surge in withdrawals suggests that large investors are reducing their exposure amid the ongoing price corrections.
Furthermore, BlackRock, a prominent institutional player in the ETF realm, has also reduced its Ethereum holdings. On Monday, its spot Ethereum ETF alone experienced approximately $310 million in outflows. Market analysts suggest that this selling activity may have intensified the recent market downturn, amplifying the downward momentum across exchanges.
Analysts Remain Optimistic About Ethereum’s Future
Amidst the prevailing negative sentiment, certain market analysts maintain a bullish long-term outlook for Ethereum. Michael van de Poppe, a well-known crypto analyst, indicated on social media that Ethereum may be poised for a rebound. He emphasized that the cryptocurrency is in need of a higher low, hinting that a sustained recovery could propel prices to new resistance levels.
Support for this optimistic view can be found in technical analysis. On the weekly chart, Ethereum has formed a bullish flag pattern, historically indicative of a continuation of the prior uptrend. The price appears to be retesting a critical resistance level that served as a major swing point in March, May, and November of the previous year. This structure suggests that buyers might regain control if Ethereum stabilizes above current levels.
Price Forecast and Key Resistance Levels
Chart patterns suggest that Ethereum could encounter initial resistance around the psychological barrier of $5,000. A decisive breakthrough above this level could pave the way for a move toward $6,250, identified by analysts as the next major resistance zone. These targets are further validated by the Murrey Math Lines tool, which is often employed to pinpoint extreme market ranges.
However, traders remain vigilant about a potential decline below $3,425, as a breach of this level could invalidate the bullish outlook, signaling further weakness in the short term. Nevertheless, amid ongoing market volatility, analysts propose that the current pullback may provide a strategic entry point for long-term investors eyeing Ethereum’s next move.